Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.8% vs 47.1%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jones 47.3% vs Kapanen 47.5% (-0.3%)
Offensive zone
Kapanen 60.4%
Defensive zone
Jones 60.1%
Neutral zone
Jones 53.0%
Result
Blair Jones favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Jones
Kapanen
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jones
Kapanen
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (494)
47.2% (559)
+1.4%
Power Play
50.0% (26)
51.0% (51)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
32.3% (62)
39.5% (38)
-7.2%
On penalty kill, Kapanen has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kapanen shoots right. Jones is 51.2% vs right-shot opponents (168).
Jones shoots right. Kapanen is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (166).
Home / Away
Jones
Kapanen
Home
48.9% (272)
47.1% (340)
Away
45.0% (311)
47.1% (308)
By Period
Jones
Kapanen
P1
47.1%
42.7%
P2
49.7%
50.2%
P3
44.8%
48.2%
OT
25.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
43.7%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jones
42.0%▼
50.5%
46.8%
Kapanen
48.0%▬
48.5%
47.1%