Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.8% vs 47.7%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jones 47.3% vs Kapanen 48.0% (-0.9%)
Offensive zone
Kapanen 61.1%
Defensive zone
Jones 60.2%
Neutral zone
Jones 51.1%
Result
Blair Jones favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Jones
Kapanen
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jones
Kapanen
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (494)
48.1% (495)
+0.5%
Power Play
50.0% (26)
50.0% (48)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
32.3% (62)
37.5% (32)
-5.2%
On penalty kill, Kapanen has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kapanen shoots right. Jones is 51.2% vs right-shot opponents (168).
Jones shoots right. Kapanen is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (148).
Home / Away
Jones
Kapanen
Home
48.9% (272)
47.2% (299)
Away
45.0% (311)
48.2% (276)
By Period
Jones
Kapanen
P1
47.1%
42.0%
P2
49.7%
51.4%
P3
44.8%
49.2%
OT
25.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
43.7%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jones
42.0%▼
50.5%
46.8%
Kapanen
58.0%▲
47.5%
47.7%