Scouting Report
Steven Zalewski holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Zalewski on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Jones wins 40.5% vs left-shot opponents — Zalewski shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jones 44.3% vs Zalewski 50.0% (-7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zalewski 50.4%
Defensive zone
Jones 68.9%
Neutral zone
Jones 60.5%
Result
Blair Jones favored at 61.0%
61.0%
39.0%
Jones
Zalewski
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Jones
Zalewski
Last 7: Jones 3-4 Zalewski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zalewski
0
2
Jones
Zalewski
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zalewski
1
2
Jones
Zalewski
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jones
2
0
Jones
Zalewski
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jones
Zalewski
Edge
Even Strength
42.8% (243)
48.8% (43)
-6.0%
On even strength, Zalewski has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zalewski shoots left. Jones is 40.5% vs left-shot opponents (220).
Jones shoots right. Zalewski is 42.3% vs right-shot opponents (26).
Home / Away
Jones
Zalewski
Home
48.3% (149)
63.2% (19)
Away
36.6% (153)
40.0% (25)
By Period
Jones
Zalewski
P1
42.6%
64.3%
P2
48.3%
47.1%
P3
38.3%
38.5%
Final 5 min
40.0%
75.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jones
42.0%▼
50.5%
42.4%
Zalewski
50.0%▬
50.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2012 | 3 | 11:25 | Offensive | Steven Zalewski |
| Jan 10, 2012 | 3 | 04:53 | Offensive | Steven Zalewski |
| Jan 10, 2012 | 3 | 04:39 | Defensive | Blair Jones |
| Jan 10, 2012 | 2 | 11:21 | Defensive | Steven Zalewski |
| Jan 10, 2012 | 2 | 01:39 | Neutral | Blair Jones |
| Jan 10, 2012 | 1 | 12:15 | Defensive | Steven Zalewski |
| Jan 10, 2012 | 1 | 05:54 | Neutral | Blair Jones |