Scouting Report
Steven Zalewski holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Zalewski on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Jones wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — Zalewski shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jones 47.3% vs Zalewski 50.0% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zalewski 54.4%
Defensive zone
Jones 64.9%
Neutral zone
Jones 62.1%
Result
Blair Jones favored at 58.6%
58.6%
41.4%
Jones
Zalewski
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Jones
Zalewski
Last 7: Jones 3-4 Zalewski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zalewski
0
2
Jones
Zalewski
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zalewski
1
2
Jones
Zalewski
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jones
2
0
Jones
Zalewski
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jones
Zalewski
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (494)
48.8% (43)
-0.2%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zalewski shoots left. Jones is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (415).
Jones shoots right. Zalewski is 42.3% vs right-shot opponents (26).
Home / Away
Jones
Zalewski
Home
48.9% (272)
63.2% (19)
Away
45.0% (311)
40.0% (25)
By Period
Jones
Zalewski
P1
47.1%
64.3%
P2
49.7%
47.1%
P3
44.8%
38.5%
Final 5 min
43.7%
75.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jones
42.0%▼
50.5%
46.8%
Zalewski
50.0%▬
50.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2012 | 3 | 11:25 | Offensive | Steven Zalewski |
| Jan 10, 2012 | 3 | 04:53 | Offensive | Steven Zalewski |
| Jan 10, 2012 | 3 | 04:39 | Defensive | Blair Jones |
| Jan 10, 2012 | 2 | 11:21 | Defensive | Steven Zalewski |
| Jan 10, 2012 | 2 | 01:39 | Neutral | Blair Jones |
| Jan 10, 2012 | 1 | 12:15 | Defensive | Steven Zalewski |
| Jan 10, 2012 | 1 | 05:54 | Neutral | Blair Jones |