Scouting Report
Torrey Mitchell holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Jones on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jones 44.3% vs Mitchell 47.0% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mitchell 56.7%
Defensive zone
Jones 60.5%
Neutral zone
Jones 54.6%
Result
Blair Jones favored at 54.7%
54.7%
45.3%
Jones
Mitchell
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Jones
Mitchell
Last 6: Jones 3-3 Mitchell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
0
1
Jones
Mitchell
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jones
Mitchell
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jones
2
1
Jones
Mitchell
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jones
Mitchell
Edge
Even Strength
42.8% (243)
45.2% (73)
-2.4%
Power Play
58.8% (17)
20.0% (5)
+38.8%
Penalty Kill
34.1% (41)
40.0% (5)
-5.9%
On power play, Jones has a +38.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mitchell shoots right. Jones is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (82).
Jones shoots right. Mitchell is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (28).
Home / Away
Jones
Mitchell
Home
48.3% (149)
40.6% (32)
Away
36.6% (153)
45.1% (51)
By Period
Jones
Mitchell
P1
42.6%
42.3%
P2
48.3%
40.7%
P3
38.3%
46.7%
Final 5 min
40.0%
30.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jones
42.0%▼
50.5%
42.4%
Mitchell
38.0%▼
45.0%
43.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2012 | 3 | 16:58 | Defensive | Blair Jones |
| Jan 24, 2012 | 3 | 10:40 | Offensive | Torrey Mitchell |
| Jan 24, 2012 | 3 | 02:51 | Defensive | Torrey Mitchell |
| Jan 24, 2012 | 3 | 00:52 | Neutral | Torrey Mitchell |
| Jan 17, 2012 | 3 | 07:25 | Neutral | Blair Jones |
| Jan 17, 2012 | 3 | 07:17 | Neutral | Blair Jones |