Scouting Report
Torrey Mitchell holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Jones on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jones 47.3% vs Mitchell 50.8% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jones 70.0%
Defensive zone
Mitchell 66.7%
Neutral zone
Jones 53.2%
Result
Torrey Mitchell favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Jones
Mitchell
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Jones
Mitchell
Last 6: Jones 3-3 Mitchell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
0
1
Jones
Mitchell
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jones
Mitchell
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jones
2
1
Jones
Mitchell
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jones
Mitchell
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (494)
50.7% (2,523)
-2.1%
Power Play
50.0% (26)
54.3% (35)
-4.3%
Penalty Kill
32.3% (62)
50.7% (473)
-18.4%
On penalty kill, Mitchell has a +18.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mitchell shoots right. Jones is 51.2% vs right-shot opponents (168).
Jones shoots right. Mitchell is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (927).
Home / Away
Jones
Mitchell
Home
48.9% (272)
52.1% (1,521)
Away
45.0% (311)
49.5% (1,512)
By Period
Jones
Mitchell
P1
47.1%
54.8%
P2
49.7%
48.1%
P3
44.8%
49.6%
OT
25.0%
55.0%
Final 5 min
43.7%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jones
42.0%▼
50.5%
46.8%
Mitchell
38.0%▼
45.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2012 | 3 | 16:58 | Defensive | Blair Jones |
| Jan 24, 2012 | 3 | 10:40 | Offensive | Torrey Mitchell |
| Jan 24, 2012 | 3 | 02:51 | Defensive | Torrey Mitchell |
| Jan 24, 2012 | 3 | 00:52 | Neutral | Torrey Mitchell |
| Jan 17, 2012 | 3 | 07:25 | Neutral | Blair Jones |
| Jan 17, 2012 | 3 | 07:17 | Neutral | Blair Jones |