Scouting Report
Brian Boyle holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Coleman wins 43.8% vs left-shot opponents — Boyle shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coleman 43.3% vs Boyle 50.9% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coleman 50.7%
Defensive zone
Coleman 53.9%
Neutral zone
Coleman 56.8%
Result
Blake Coleman favored at 54.4%
54.4%
45.6%
Coleman
Boyle
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Coleman
Boyle
Last 5: Coleman 2-3 Boyle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
0
1
Coleman
Boyle
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Coleman
Boyle
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Coleman
Boyle
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coleman
Boyle
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (1,060)
51.7% (5,426)
-6.4%
Power Play
34.1% (41)
54.6% (597)
-20.5%
Penalty Kill
35.8% (321)
46.2% (1,301)
-10.4%
On power play, Boyle has a +20.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boyle shoots left. Coleman is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (889).
Coleman shoots left. Boyle is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (4,667).
Home / Away
Coleman
Boyle
Home
44.5% (663)
52.2% (3,521)
Away
41.4% (759)
49.8% (3,828)
By Period
Coleman
Boyle
P1
42.4%
51.3%
P2
44.6%
51.1%
P3
41.7%
50.4%
OT
0.0%
55.3%
Final 5 min
42.3%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coleman
32.0%▼
45.5%
42.8%
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2017 | 3 | 19:14 | Neutral | Blake Coleman |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 2 | 10:15 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 2 | 09:59 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 2 | 04:51 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 1 | 04:03 | Defensive | Blake Coleman |