Scouting Report
Blake Coleman holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Coleman wins 54.8% vs right-shot opponents — Bourque shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coleman 49.2% vs Bourque 47.1% (+1.8%)
Offensive zone
Coleman 56.4%
Defensive zone
Bourque 71.4%
Neutral zone
Bourque 52.2%
Result
Mavrik Bourque favored at 55.8%
44.2%
55.8%
Coleman
Bourque
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coleman
Bourque
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (60)
46.7% (321)
+3.3%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
33.3% (6)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (15)
42.9% (21)
+3.8%
On power play, Bourque has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bourque shoots right. Coleman is 54.8% vs right-shot opponents (31).
Coleman shoots left. Bourque is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (269).
Home / Away
Coleman
Bourque
Home
46.5% (43)
51.0% (157)
Away
50.0% (36)
42.4% (191)
By Period
Coleman
Bourque
P1
56.0%
44.2%
P2
41.2%
44.7%
P3
50.0%
49.6%
Final 5 min
47.6%
59.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coleman
30.0%▼
45.0%
48.1%
Bourque
48.0%▲
46.5%
46.3%