Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Coleman wins 43.8% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coleman 43.3% vs Bonino 50.0% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Bonino leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Coleman 61.5%
Defensive zone
Coleman 62.4%
Neutral zone
Coleman 62.8%
Result
Blake Coleman favored at 62.1%
62.1%
37.9%
Coleman
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
9
(15 meetings)
6
9
Coleman
Bonino
Last 10: Coleman 4-6 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
2
4
Coleman
Bonino
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
2
4
Coleman
Bonino
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coleman
2
1
Coleman
Bonino
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coleman
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (1,060)
50.6% (8,315)
-5.3%
Power Play
34.1% (41)
54.1% (972)
-20.0%
Penalty Kill
35.8% (321)
44.6% (1,693)
-8.8%
On power play, Bonino has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Coleman is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (889).
Coleman shoots left. Bonino is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (6,917).
Home / Away
Coleman
Bonino
Home
44.5% (663)
51.2% (5,507)
Away
41.4% (759)
48.8% (5,480)
By Period
Coleman
Bonino
P1
42.4%
50.6%
P2
44.6%
48.5%
P3
41.7%
51.1%
OT
0.0%
45.7%
Final 5 min
42.3%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coleman
32.0%▼
45.5%
42.8%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2022 | 2 | 01:30 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 3 | 09:14 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 3 | 00:52 | Defensive | Blake Coleman |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 1 | 14:40 | Neutral | Blake Coleman |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 3 | 08:03 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 3 | 01:00 | Defensive | Blake Coleman |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 3 | 00:49 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 1 | 18:35 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 1 | 09:29 | Offensive | Blake Coleman |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 1 | 09:26 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 3 | 16:25 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 2 | 16:54 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 1 | 18:26 | Neutral | Blake Coleman |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 1 | 14:24 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 1 | 14:31 | Offensive | Blake Coleman |