Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +12.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Coleman wins 43.8% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coleman 43.3% vs Stastny 55.1% (-12.3%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 66.9%
Defensive zone
Coleman 69.0%
Neutral zone
Coleman 59.2%
Result
Blake Coleman favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Coleman
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Coleman
Stastny
Last 10: Coleman 5-5 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
4
Coleman
Stastny
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coleman
3
1
Coleman
Stastny
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Coleman
Stastny
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coleman
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (1,060)
54.6% (10,616)
-9.3%
Power Play
34.1% (41)
59.1% (1,994)
-25.0%
Penalty Kill
35.8% (321)
52.9% (1,119)
-17.1%
On power play, Stastny has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Coleman is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (889).
Coleman shoots left. Stastny is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,871).
Home / Away
Coleman
Stastny
Home
44.5% (663)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
41.4% (759)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Coleman
Stastny
P1
42.4%
56.3%
P2
44.6%
55.4%
P3
41.7%
53.5%
OT
0.0%
62.9%
Final 5 min
42.3%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coleman
32.0%▼
45.5%
42.8%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 3, 2019 | 1 | 03:33 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 6, 2019 | 2 | 03:18 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 6, 2019 | 1 | 06:48 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 3 | 09:11 | Neutral | Blake Coleman |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 3 | 06:11 | Defensive | Blake Coleman |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 3 | 00:42 | Defensive | Blake Coleman |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 2 | 16:12 | Offensive | Blake Coleman |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 1 | 10:06 | Defensive | Blake Coleman |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 2 | 00:23 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 7, 2017 | 1 | 13:36 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |