Scouting Report
Riley Nash holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Nash on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Coleman wins 41.3% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coleman 43.3% vs Nash 48.5% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coleman 58.9%
Defensive zone
Coleman 67.1%
Neutral zone
Coleman 61.7%
Result
Blake Coleman favored at 63.0%
63.0%
37.0%
Coleman
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Coleman
Nash
Last 6: Coleman 2-4 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coleman
1
0
Coleman
Nash
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nash
0
2
Coleman
Nash
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nash
1
2
Coleman
Nash
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coleman
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (1,060)
48.7% (4,621)
-3.4%
Power Play
34.1% (41)
51.0% (249)
-16.9%
Penalty Kill
35.8% (321)
44.9% (550)
-9.1%
On power play, Nash has a +16.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Coleman is 41.3% vs right-shot opponents (533).
Coleman shoots left. Nash is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,747).
Home / Away
Coleman
Nash
Home
44.5% (663)
50.2% (2,740)
Away
41.4% (759)
46.7% (2,681)
By Period
Coleman
Nash
P1
42.4%
49.0%
P2
44.6%
47.9%
P3
41.7%
48.0%
OT
0.0%
68.4%
Final 5 min
42.3%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coleman
32.0%▼
45.5%
42.8%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2019 | 1 | 08:06 | Neutral | Blake Coleman |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 3 | 08:23 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 3 | 05:01 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 2 | 02:11 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 1 | 09:30 | Offensive | Blake Coleman |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 1 | 01:25 | Neutral | Riley Nash |