Scouting Report
Ryan Strome holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Coleman on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Coleman wins 41.3% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coleman 43.3% vs Strome 44.6% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Coleman leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 73.1%
Defensive zone
Coleman 61.4%
Neutral zone
Coleman 51.2%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 63.0%
37.0%
63.0%
Coleman
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
7
(15 meetings)
8
7
Coleman
Strome
Last 10: Coleman 6-4 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
5
5
Coleman
Strome
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coleman
2
1
Coleman
Strome
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Coleman
Strome
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coleman
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (1,060)
44.1% (6,839)
+1.2%
Power Play
34.1% (41)
49.3% (854)
-15.2%
Penalty Kill
35.8% (321)
41.5% (410)
-5.7%
On power play, Strome has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Coleman is 41.3% vs right-shot opponents (533).
Coleman shoots left. Strome is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,726).
Home / Away
Coleman
Strome
Home
44.5% (663)
44.4% (4,046)
Away
41.4% (759)
44.7% (4,057)
By Period
Coleman
Strome
P1
42.4%
44.0%
P2
44.6%
45.3%
P3
41.7%
44.3%
OT
0.0%
46.3%
Final 5 min
42.3%
44.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coleman
32.0%▼
45.5%
42.8%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2025 | 3 | 10:37 | Offensive | Blake Coleman |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 1 | 02:55 | Offensive | Blake Coleman |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 2 | 03:40 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 30, 2019 | 1 | 06:26 | Defensive | Blake Coleman |
| Apr 1, 2019 | 2 | 15:02 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 9, 2019 | 3 | 00:55 | Defensive | Blake Coleman |
| Mar 9, 2019 | 2 | 08:49 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 9, 2019 | 1 | 09:53 | Offensive | Blake Coleman |
| Mar 9, 2019 | 1 | 01:09 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 9, 2019 | 1 | 00:40 | Offensive | Blake Coleman |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 2 | 03:45 | Neutral | Blake Coleman |
| Nov 3, 2017 | 3 | 19:17 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 3, 2017 | 3 | 17:10 | Offensive | Blake Coleman |
| Nov 3, 2017 | 3 | 13:18 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |