Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Coleman wins 43.8% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coleman 43.3% vs Crosby 53.5% (-10.7%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 72.8%
Defensive zone
Coleman 80.8%
Neutral zone
Coleman 62.2%
Result
Blake Coleman favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
Coleman
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
8
(14 meetings)
6
8
Coleman
Crosby
Last 10: Coleman 5-5 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
7
Coleman
Crosby
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coleman
5
1
Coleman
Crosby
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coleman
1
0
Coleman
Crosby
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coleman
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (1,060)
52.8% (17,990)
-7.5%
Power Play
34.1% (41)
57.4% (4,733)
-23.3%
Penalty Kill
35.8% (321)
47.1% (765)
-11.3%
On power play, Crosby has a +23.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Coleman is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (889).
Coleman shoots left. Crosby is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (14,851).
Home / Away
Coleman
Crosby
Home
44.5% (663)
55.0% (11,972)
Away
41.4% (759)
52.0% (11,535)
By Period
Coleman
Crosby
P1
42.4%
53.6%
P2
44.6%
53.9%
P3
41.7%
53.3%
OT
0.0%
49.6%
Final 5 min
42.3%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coleman
32.0%▼
45.5%
42.8%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2024 | 2 | 02:36 | Neutral | Blake Coleman |
| Jan 28, 2019 | 2 | 09:58 | Defensive | Blake Coleman |
| Jan 28, 2019 | 1 | 15:59 | Defensive | Blake Coleman |
| Jan 28, 2019 | 1 | 07:51 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 13, 2018 | 2 | 16:18 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 13, 2018 | 2 | 06:01 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 13, 2018 | 1 | 19:52 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 13, 2018 | 1 | 17:09 | Defensive | Blake Coleman |
| Nov 13, 2018 | 1 | 13:12 | Defensive | Blake Coleman |
| Nov 5, 2018 | 3 | 19:00 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 5, 2018 | 1 | 09:32 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 29, 2018 | 3 | 08:59 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 29, 2018 | 3 | 07:37 | Defensive | Blake Coleman |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 2 | 06:24 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |