Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Comeau 44.6% vs Spezza 54.7% (-10.4%)
H2H factor
Spezza leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Spezza 63.8%
Defensive zone
Comeau 64.9%
Neutral zone
Comeau 50.8%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 56.0%
44.0%
56.0%
Comeau
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
Comeau
Spezza
Last 10: Comeau 4-6 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
2
6
Comeau
Spezza
8 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Comeau
Spezza
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Comeau
3
0
Comeau
Spezza
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Comeau
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (1,082)
54.4% (7,990)
-9.2%
Power Play
57.4% (129)
56.8% (1,726)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (449)
52.7% (643)
-14.2%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +14.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Comeau is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (481).
Comeau shoots right. Spezza is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,088).
Home / Away
Comeau
Spezza
Home
47.8% (894)
56.8% (5,066)
Away
40.2% (768)
52.7% (5,332)
By Period
Comeau
Spezza
P1
45.0%
55.7%
P2
44.0%
54.4%
P3
44.3%
54.1%
OT
28.6%
51.5%
Final 5 min
45.6%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Comeau
56.0%▲
47.0%
44.3%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2017 | 3 | 05:20 | Offensive | Blake Comeau |
| Dec 3, 2017 | 1 | 18:16 | Neutral | Blake Comeau |
| Dec 3, 2017 | 1 | 10:35 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 2 | 10:35 | Defensive | Blake Comeau |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 2 | 07:51 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 2 | 07:37 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 2 | 05:33 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 1 | 09:12 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 23, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Blake Comeau |
| Jan 23, 2016 | 1 | 18:30 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 15, 2011 | 2 | 12:33 | Neutral | Blake Comeau |
| Feb 15, 2011 | 2 | 03:17 | Offensive | Blake Comeau |
| Feb 15, 2011 | 1 | 17:48 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |