Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +16.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Pavelski on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Comeau wins 40.8% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Comeau 41.5% vs Pavelski 54.4% (-16.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Comeau 82.3%
Defensive zone
Comeau 83.3%
Neutral zone
Comeau 81.9%
Result
Blake Comeau favored at 82.2%
82.2%
17.8%
Comeau
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Comeau
Pavelski
Last 5: Comeau 0-5 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
4
Comeau
Pavelski
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
1
Comeau
Pavelski
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Comeau
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
40.3% (159)
53.2% (690)
-12.9%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
61.5% (174)
-36.5%
Penalty Kill
36.1% (108)
55.3% (47)
-19.2%
On power play, Pavelski has a +36.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Comeau is 40.8% vs right-shot opponents (76).
Comeau shoots right. Pavelski is 61.8% vs right-shot opponents (204).
Home / Away
Comeau
Pavelski
Home
43.2% (146)
56.1% (421)
Away
32.8% (125)
53.9% (490)
By Period
Comeau
Pavelski
P1
43.9%
57.1%
P2
33.0%
55.8%
P3
39.1%
52.5%
Final 5 min
44.9%
60.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Comeau
56.0%▲
47.0%
38.4%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2018 | 1 | 03:49 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 3 | 19:20 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 1 | 14:14 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 1 | 10:24 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 18, 2018 | 2 | 07:47 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |