Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Pavelski on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Comeau 44.6% vs Pavelski 54.1% (-9.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Comeau 80.1%
Defensive zone
Comeau 78.1%
Neutral zone
Comeau 82.5%
Result
Blake Comeau favored at 80.2%
80.2%
19.8%
Comeau
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Comeau
Pavelski
Last 8: Comeau 2-6 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
4
Comeau
Pavelski
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Comeau
Pavelski
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Comeau
Pavelski
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Comeau
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (1,082)
53.6% (8,791)
-8.4%
Power Play
57.4% (129)
58.2% (2,122)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (449)
50.9% (1,138)
-12.4%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Comeau is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (481).
Comeau shoots right. Pavelski is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (2,971).
Home / Away
Comeau
Pavelski
Home
47.8% (894)
56.4% (5,998)
Away
40.2% (768)
52.0% (6,076)
By Period
Comeau
Pavelski
P1
45.0%
53.5%
P2
44.0%
55.2%
P3
44.3%
53.9%
OT
28.6%
52.3%
Final 5 min
45.6%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Comeau
56.0%▲
47.0%
44.3%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2018 | 2 | 05:16 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 1 | 01:23 | Neutral | Blake Comeau |
| Apr 5, 2018 | 1 | 03:49 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 3 | 19:20 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 1 | 14:14 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 1 | 10:24 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 18, 2018 | 2 | 07:47 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 24, 2012 | 1 | 06:09 | Defensive | Blake Comeau |