Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +15.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Comeau wins 33.3% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Comeau 40.1% vs Staal 47.3% (-15.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Comeau 58.3%
Defensive zone
Comeau 54.8%
Neutral zone
Comeau 58.4%
Result
Blake Comeau favored at 58.3%
58.3%
41.7%
Comeau
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Comeau
Staal
Last 5: Comeau 1-4 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
3
Comeau
Staal
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Comeau
Staal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Comeau
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
22.4% (58)
47.6% (552)
-25.2%
Power Play
61.5% (13)
49.1% (110)
+12.4%
Penalty Kill
35.0% (40)
37.8% (111)
-2.8%
On even strength, Staal has a +25.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Comeau is 33.3% vs left-shot opponents (69).
Comeau shoots right. Staal is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (251).
Home / Away
Comeau
Staal
Home
30.8% (65)
49.8% (400)
Away
31.9% (47)
44.1% (401)
By Period
Comeau
Staal
P1
31.4%
53.7%
P2
24.2%
43.9%
P3
36.6%
43.5%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
37.0%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Comeau
56.0%▲
47.0%
31.3%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
46.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2011 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 3 | 19:40 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 3 | 19:25 | Neutral | Blake Comeau |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 1 | 09:11 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 1 | 05:49 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |