Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Comeau wins 42.7% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Comeau 44.6% vs Staal 55.3% (-11.0%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Comeau 79.2%
Defensive zone
Comeau 83.4%
Neutral zone
Comeau 83.4%
Result
Blake Comeau favored at 81.0%
81.0%
19.0%
Comeau
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
10
(14 meetings)
4
10
Comeau
Staal
Last 10: Comeau 3-7 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
7
Comeau
Staal
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Comeau
2
1
Comeau
Staal
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
2
Comeau
Staal
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Comeau
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (1,082)
55.9% (14,620)
-10.7%
Power Play
57.4% (129)
62.7% (1,745)
-5.3%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (449)
48.0% (2,896)
-9.5%
On even strength, Staal has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Comeau is 42.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,181).
Comeau shoots right. Staal is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (6,553).
Home / Away
Comeau
Staal
Home
47.8% (894)
56.4% (9,663)
Away
40.2% (768)
54.3% (9,663)
By Period
Comeau
Staal
P1
45.0%
55.2%
P2
44.0%
55.9%
P3
44.3%
54.9%
OT
28.6%
56.2%
Final 5 min
45.6%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Comeau
56.0%▲
47.0%
44.3%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2021 | 3 | 01:27 | Defensive | Blake Comeau |
| Feb 13, 2021 | 2 | 17:53 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 3 | 04:30 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 3 | 01:28 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 1 | 19:13 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 1 | 15:37 | Defensive | Blake Comeau |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 1 | 15:33 | Offensive | Blake Comeau |
| Oct 30, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 21, 2015 | 2 | 08:42 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 8, 2011 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 3 | 19:40 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 3 | 19:25 | Neutral | Blake Comeau |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 1 | 09:11 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 1 | 05:49 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |