Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Comeau wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Comeau 49.0% vs Staal 57.3% (-9.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 50.1%
Defensive zone
Staal 64.5%
Neutral zone
Staal 52.6%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 54.2%
45.8%
54.2%
Comeau
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Comeau
Staal
Last 7: Comeau 3-4 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
4
Comeau
Staal
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Comeau
2
0
Comeau
Staal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Comeau
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (88)
57.2% (780)
-3.8%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
71.3% (171)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
21.1% (19)
45.5% (132)
-24.4%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +24.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Comeau is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (81).
Comeau shoots right. Staal is 61.5% vs right-shot opponents (369).
Home / Away
Comeau
Staal
Home
47.2% (53)
57.6% (566)
Away
49.1% (57)
58.4% (517)
By Period
Comeau
Staal
P1
56.5%
55.6%
P2
36.4%
58.5%
P3
55.6%
60.6%
OT
0.0%
43.5%
Final 5 min
50.0%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Comeau
56.0%▲
47.0%
48.2%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2021 | 3 | 01:27 | Defensive | Blake Comeau |
| Feb 13, 2021 | 2 | 17:53 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 3 | 04:30 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 3 | 01:28 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 1 | 19:13 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 1 | 15:37 | Defensive | Blake Comeau |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 1 | 15:33 | Offensive | Blake Comeau |