Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Lizotte on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Gaudette wins 41.6% vs left-shot opponents — Lizotte shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 42.8% vs Lizotte 50.1% (-9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudette 80.5%
Defensive zone
Gaudette 75.6%
Neutral zone
Gaudette 73.8%
Result
Adam Gaudette favored at 76.2%
76.2%
23.8%
Gaudette
Lizotte
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Gaudette
Lizotte
Last 7: Gaudette 1-6 Lizotte
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Gaudette
Lizotte
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
0
2
Gaudette
Lizotte
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lizotte
0
3
Gaudette
Lizotte
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
Lizotte
Edge
Even Strength
41.0% (373)
50.3% (549)
-9.3%
Power Play
41.9% (74)
60.9% (23)
-19.0%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
44.0% (50)
-1.1%
On power play, Lizotte has a +19.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lizotte shoots left. Gaudette is 41.6% vs left-shot opponents (334).
Gaudette shoots right. Lizotte is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (196).
Home / Away
Gaudette
Lizotte
Home
46.0% (250)
48.5% (336)
Away
35.3% (204)
52.1% (286)
By Period
Gaudette
Lizotte
P1
40.8%
48.2%
P2
42.8%
54.1%
P3
39.7%
47.1%
Final 5 min
42.3%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
46.0%▼
48.5%
41.2%
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2019 | 1 | 10:13 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Oct 9, 2019 | 3 | 10:00 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 9, 2019 | 3 | 07:31 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 9, 2019 | 3 | 01:14 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 9, 2019 | 2 | 02:34 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 9, 2019 | 1 | 15:33 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 9, 2019 | 1 | 10:07 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |