Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Wheeler on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.4% vs Wheeler 46.1% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wheeler 79.4%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 61.3%
Neutral zone
Wheeler 61.2%
Result
Blake Wheeler favored at 62.0%
38.0%
62.0%
Lizotte
Wheeler
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Lizotte
Wheeler
Last 7: Lizotte 2-5 Wheeler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wheeler
1
3
Lizotte
Wheeler
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wheeler
1
2
Lizotte
Wheeler
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Wheeler
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (3,068)
46.7% (1,369)
+4.9%
Power Play
48.1% (81)
46.9% (207)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (437)
35.7% (129)
+6.6%
On penalty kill, Lizotte has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wheeler shoots right. Lizotte is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,213).
Lizotte shoots left. Wheeler is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,172).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Wheeler
Home
49.5% (1,840)
47.5% (883)
Away
51.4% (1,746)
44.2% (822)
By Period
Lizotte
Wheeler
P1
48.0%
45.0%
P2
52.3%
48.2%
P3
50.5%
44.5%
OT
75.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
50.2%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.4%
Wheeler
60.0%▲
53.0%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2020 | 2 | 04:33 | Offensive | Blake Wheeler |
| Nov 30, 2019 | 3 | 19:23 | Offensive | Blake Wheeler |
| Nov 30, 2019 | 3 | 04:04 | Defensive | Blake Wheeler |
| Nov 30, 2019 | 3 | 01:31 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 30, 2019 | 2 | 12:11 | Offensive | Blake Wheeler |
| Nov 30, 2019 | 1 | 01:23 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 1 | 07:28 | Defensive | Blake Wheeler |