Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.2% vs 51.6%). Lizotte wins 46.6% vs right-shot opponents — Wheeler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 51.0% vs Wheeler 50.9% (-0.4%)
Offensive zone
Wheeler 62.7%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 67.9%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 55.7%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 53.6%
53.6%
46.4%
Lizotte
Wheeler
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Wheeler
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (707)
53.8% (104)
-1.3%
Power Play
46.2% (13)
43.8% (16)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (87)
33.3% (6)
+8.1%
On penalty kill, Lizotte has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wheeler shoots right. Lizotte is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (253).
Lizotte shoots left. Wheeler is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (102).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Wheeler
Home
51.4% (383)
53.8% (65)
Away
50.9% (424)
49.2% (61)
By Period
Lizotte
Wheeler
P1
48.8%
46.2%
P2
51.0%
56.5%
P3
53.5%
51.2%
Final 5 min
48.3%
61.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.2%
Wheeler
60.0%▲
53.0%
51.6%