Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.2% vs 49.8%). Look for Wheeler on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Lizotte wins 56.6% vs right-shot opponents — Wheeler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.1% vs Wheeler 49.9% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wheeler 51.7%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 63.6%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 55.5%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 54.8%
54.8%
45.2%
Lizotte
Wheeler
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Lizotte
Wheeler
Last 7: Lizotte 2-5 Wheeler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wheeler
1
3
Lizotte
Wheeler
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wheeler
1
2
Lizotte
Wheeler
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Wheeler
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (549)
50.6% (536)
-0.3%
Power Play
60.9% (23)
47.1% (68)
+13.8%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (50)
45.8% (48)
-1.8%
On power play, Lizotte has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wheeler shoots right. Lizotte is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (196).
Lizotte shoots left. Wheeler is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (452).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Wheeler
Home
48.5% (336)
52.8% (352)
Away
52.1% (286)
46.3% (300)
By Period
Lizotte
Wheeler
P1
48.2%
46.8%
P2
54.1%
57.7%
P3
47.1%
44.8%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.4%
43.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.2%
Wheeler
60.0%▲
53.0%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2020 | 2 | 04:33 | Offensive | Blake Wheeler |
| Nov 30, 2019 | 3 | 19:23 | Offensive | Blake Wheeler |
| Nov 30, 2019 | 3 | 04:04 | Defensive | Blake Wheeler |
| Nov 30, 2019 | 3 | 01:31 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 30, 2019 | 2 | 12:11 | Offensive | Blake Wheeler |
| Nov 30, 2019 | 1 | 01:23 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 1 | 07:28 | Defensive | Blake Wheeler |