Scouting Report
Brad Richardson holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Richardson on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Lizotte wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Richardson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 51.3% vs Richardson 55.8% (-6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lizotte 72.9%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 73.1%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 72.5%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 72.6%
72.6%
27.4%
Lizotte
Richardson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Lizotte
Richardson
Last 5: Lizotte 1-4 Richardson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richardson
0
1
Lizotte
Richardson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richardson
1
3
Lizotte
Richardson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Richardson
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (534)
59.7% (221)
-8.4%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
100.0% (2)
-38.9%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (55)
31.3% (16)
+19.6%
On power play, Richardson has a +38.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Richardson shoots left. Lizotte is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Lizotte shoots left. Richardson is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (151).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Richardson
Home
52.5% (326)
60.2% (88)
Away
50.5% (281)
57.0% (151)
By Period
Lizotte
Richardson
P1
51.4%
63.8%
P2
56.3%
59.1%
P3
46.1%
50.7%
Final 5 min
49.2%
65.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.6%
Richardson
58.0%▬
58.0%
58.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2022 | 3 | 16:09 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 1 | 03:23 | Offensive | Brad Richardson |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 1 | 14:18 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 1 | 11:19 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |