Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Lizotte wins 46.4% vs right-shot opponents — Point shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.8% vs Point 48.7% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 78.2%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 82.0%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 58.7%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
Lizotte
Point
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Lizotte
Point
Last 5: Lizotte 4-1 Point
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lizotte
Point
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
2
0
Lizotte
Point
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lizotte
1
0
Lizotte
Point
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Point
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (299)
47.8% (736)
+5.7%
Power Play
0.0% (4)
51.0% (143)
-51.0%
Penalty Kill
38.6% (44)
71.4% (7)
-32.8%
On power play, Point has a +51.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Point shoots right. Lizotte is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (140).
Lizotte shoots left. Point is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (706).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Point
Home
52.0% (198)
49.7% (471)
Away
49.7% (149)
47.2% (415)
By Period
Lizotte
Point
P1
50.0%
46.6%
P2
50.9%
51.7%
P3
52.2%
46.5%
OT
0.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
60.9%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.0%
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2025 | 3 | 11:29 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 3 | 04:42 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 1 | 18:27 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 1 | 15:12 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 1 | 07:02 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |