Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Lizotte on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Lizotte wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Schenn shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 51.0% vs Schenn 46.9% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lizotte 64.3%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 71.8%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 75.8%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 70.3%
70.3%
29.7%
Lizotte
Schenn
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Lizotte
Schenn
Last 7: Lizotte 6-1 Schenn
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
3
0
Lizotte
Schenn
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
1
0
Lizotte
Schenn
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lizotte
2
1
Lizotte
Schenn
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Schenn
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (707)
45.6% (798)
+6.9%
Power Play
46.2% (13)
52.8% (127)
-6.6%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (87)
46.1% (89)
-4.7%
On even strength, Lizotte has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schenn shoots left. Lizotte is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (554).
Lizotte shoots left. Schenn is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (665).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Schenn
Home
51.4% (383)
46.8% (494)
Away
50.9% (424)
46.3% (520)
By Period
Lizotte
Schenn
P1
48.8%
50.3%
P2
51.0%
47.0%
P3
53.5%
42.2%
Final 5 min
48.3%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.2%
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2023 | 3 | 12:42 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 2 | 13:09 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 2 | 13:02 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 2 | 12:50 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 2 | 09:37 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 2 | 09:28 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 1 | 18:05 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |