Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.4% vs 51.0%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.4% vs Boyle 50.9% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lizotte 51.1%
Defensive zone
Boyle 57.6%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 52.3%
Result
Brian Boyle favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
Lizotte
Boyle
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Lizotte
Boyle
Last 5: Lizotte 2-3 Boyle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
0
2
Lizotte
Boyle
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lizotte
Boyle
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lizotte
1
0
Lizotte
Boyle
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Boyle
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (3,068)
51.7% (5,426)
-0.1%
Power Play
48.1% (81)
54.6% (597)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (437)
46.2% (1,301)
-3.9%
On power play, Boyle has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boyle shoots left. Lizotte is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,373).
Lizotte shoots left. Boyle is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (4,667).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Boyle
Home
49.5% (1,840)
52.2% (3,521)
Away
51.4% (1,746)
49.8% (3,828)
By Period
Lizotte
Boyle
P1
48.0%
51.3%
P2
52.3%
51.1%
P3
50.5%
50.4%
OT
75.0%
55.3%
Final 5 min
50.2%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.4%
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2022 | 3 | 03:09 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Jan 30, 2022 | 2 | 04:18 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 3 | 19:32 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 1 | 02:00 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 1 | 01:53 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |