Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Lizotte wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Boyle shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 51.3% vs Boyle 46.2% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lizotte 53.4%
Defensive zone
Boyle 67.6%
Neutral zone
Boyle 57.8%
Result
Brian Boyle favored at 57.3%
42.7%
57.3%
Lizotte
Boyle
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Lizotte
Boyle
Last 5: Lizotte 2-3 Boyle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
0
2
Lizotte
Boyle
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lizotte
Boyle
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lizotte
1
0
Lizotte
Boyle
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Boyle
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (534)
47.6% (290)
+3.7%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
50.0% (4)
+11.1%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (55)
35.2% (71)
+15.7%
On penalty kill, Lizotte has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boyle shoots left. Lizotte is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Lizotte shoots left. Boyle is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (238).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Boyle
Home
52.5% (326)
44.2% (199)
Away
50.5% (281)
46.4% (166)
By Period
Lizotte
Boyle
P1
51.4%
48.6%
P2
56.3%
40.4%
P3
46.1%
46.4%
Final 5 min
49.2%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.6%
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2022 | 3 | 03:09 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Jan 30, 2022 | 2 | 04:18 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 3 | 19:32 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 1 | 02:00 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 1 | 01:53 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |