Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +21.8% FO% edge overall. Lizotte wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Paquette shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 51.3% vs Paquette 39.7% (+21.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lizotte 89.6%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 87.3%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 79.8%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 84.8%
84.8%
15.2%
Lizotte
Paquette
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Lizotte
Paquette
Last 5: Lizotte 4-1 Paquette
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paquette
0
1
Lizotte
Paquette
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
2
0
Lizotte
Paquette
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lizotte
2
0
Lizotte
Paquette
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Paquette
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (534)
30.1% (73)
+21.2%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
100.0% (1)
-38.9%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (55)
26.7% (30)
+24.2%
On power play, Paquette has a +38.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paquette shoots left. Lizotte is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Lizotte shoots left. Paquette is 36.5% vs left-shot opponents (63).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Paquette
Home
52.5% (326)
28.1% (32)
Away
50.5% (281)
30.6% (72)
By Period
Lizotte
Paquette
P1
51.4%
36.4%
P2
56.3%
27.9%
P3
46.1%
25.0%
Final 5 min
49.2%
30.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.6%
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
29.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2021 | 1 | 13:44 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 3 | 11:07 | Offensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 3 | 05:37 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 2 | 02:23 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 1 | 01:46 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |