Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +12.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.0% vs Giroux 60.9% (-12.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Giroux 89.9%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 51.8%
Neutral zone
Giroux 54.2%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 62.1%
37.9%
62.1%
Lizotte
Giroux
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Lizotte
Giroux
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
0
1
Lizotte
Giroux
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
2
0
Lizotte
Giroux
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Giroux
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (342)
60.3% (395)
-7.4%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
67.3% (107)
-42.3%
Penalty Kill
43.1% (130)
65.4% (153)
-22.3%
On power play, Giroux has a +42.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Giroux shoots right. Lizotte is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (191).
Lizotte shoots left. Giroux is 63.6% vs left-shot opponents (519).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Giroux
Home
44.2% (242)
65.9% (337)
Away
56.0% (234)
59.1% (318)
By Period
Lizotte
Giroux
P1
49.6%
62.1%
P2
46.9%
64.5%
P3
52.6%
60.9%
OT
100.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
48.0%
60.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.0%
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
62.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2026 | 2 | 03:25 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 2 | 00:34 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 1 | 16:49 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |