Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Lizotte on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.4% vs Giroux 56.8% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Lizotte leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Giroux 89.9%
Defensive zone
Giroux 62.4%
Neutral zone
Giroux 69.4%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 73.8%
26.2%
73.8%
Lizotte
Giroux
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Lizotte
Giroux
Last 10: Lizotte 6-4 Giroux
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
1
4
Lizotte
Giroux
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
6
1
Lizotte
Giroux
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Giroux
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (3,068)
55.8% (13,861)
-4.2%
Power Play
48.1% (81)
60.5% (4,075)
-12.4%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (437)
57.4% (2,518)
-15.1%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +15.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Giroux shoots right. Lizotte is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,213).
Lizotte shoots left. Giroux is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (14,370).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Giroux
Home
49.5% (1,840)
59.2% (10,252)
Away
51.4% (1,746)
54.5% (10,242)
By Period
Lizotte
Giroux
P1
48.0%
57.5%
P2
52.3%
56.2%
P3
50.5%
57.3%
OT
75.0%
51.4%
Final 5 min
50.2%
58.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.4%
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2026 | 2 | 03:25 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 2 | 00:34 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 1 | 16:49 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 2 | 19:53 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 2 | 16:07 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 2 | 07:35 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 2 | 15:55 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 00:42 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 10:42 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 2 | 13:39 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 3 | 01:17 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 1 | 16:23 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |