Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Lizotte on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.7% vs Giroux 56.8% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Giroux 83.9%
Defensive zone
Giroux 55.9%
Neutral zone
Giroux 62.0%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 68.4%
31.6%
68.4%
Lizotte
Giroux
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Lizotte
Giroux
Last 9: Lizotte 5-4 Giroux
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
1
3
Lizotte
Giroux
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
4
1
Lizotte
Giroux
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Giroux
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (3,005)
55.8% (13,768)
-4.1%
Power Play
49.4% (77)
60.5% (4,061)
-11.1%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (409)
57.3% (2,486)
-14.3%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Giroux shoots right. Lizotte is 50.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,159).
Lizotte shoots left. Giroux is 57.7% vs left-shot opponents (14,248).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Giroux
Home
49.8% (1,780)
59.2% (10,192)
Away
51.6% (1,711)
54.6% (10,163)
By Period
Lizotte
Giroux
P1
48.2%
57.5%
P2
52.8%
56.1%
P3
50.7%
57.3%
OT
66.7%
51.4%
Final 5 min
50.2%
58.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
60.0%▲
55.0%
50.7%
Giroux
68.0%▲
61.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2025 | 2 | 19:53 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 2 | 16:07 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 2 | 07:35 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 2 | 15:55 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 00:42 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 10:42 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 2 | 13:39 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 3 | 01:17 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 1 | 16:23 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |