Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.7% vs 50.7%). Look for Lizotte on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.7% vs Helm 50.7% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lizotte 57.3%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 60.1%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 60.6%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 60.5%
60.5%
39.5%
Lizotte
Helm
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Lizotte
Helm
Last 5: Lizotte 5-0 Helm
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
1
0
Lizotte
Helm
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lizotte
4
0
Lizotte
Helm
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Helm
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (3,005)
51.1% (2,790)
+0.6%
Power Play
49.4% (77)
54.7% (148)
-5.3%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (409)
48.0% (719)
-5.0%
On power play, Helm has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Helm shoots left. Lizotte is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,332).
Lizotte shoots left. Helm is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,435).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Helm
Home
49.8% (1,780)
51.8% (1,800)
Away
51.6% (1,711)
49.7% (1,877)
By Period
Lizotte
Helm
P1
48.2%
49.5%
P2
52.8%
52.8%
P3
50.7%
49.7%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.2%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
60.0%▲
55.0%
50.7%
Helm
34.0%▼
44.5%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2022 | 1 | 05:27 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Apr 13, 2022 | 1 | 02:54 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 3 | 14:51 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 3 | 10:25 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 2 | 02:47 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |