Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.4% vs 50.7%). Look for Lizotte on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.4% vs Helm 50.7% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Helm 54.5%
Defensive zone
Helm 50.8%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 52.4%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Lizotte
Helm
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Lizotte
Helm
Last 5: Lizotte 5-0 Helm
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
1
0
Lizotte
Helm
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lizotte
4
0
Lizotte
Helm
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Helm
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (3,068)
51.1% (2,790)
+0.5%
Power Play
48.1% (81)
54.7% (148)
-6.6%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (437)
48.0% (719)
-5.7%
On power play, Helm has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Helm shoots left. Lizotte is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,373).
Lizotte shoots left. Helm is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,435).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Helm
Home
49.5% (1,840)
51.8% (1,800)
Away
51.4% (1,746)
49.7% (1,877)
By Period
Lizotte
Helm
P1
48.0%
49.5%
P2
52.3%
52.8%
P3
50.5%
49.7%
OT
75.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.2%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.4%
Helm
34.0%▼
44.5%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2022 | 1 | 05:27 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Apr 13, 2022 | 1 | 02:54 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 3 | 14:51 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 3 | 10:25 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 2 | 02:47 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |