Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Lizotte on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Lizotte wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Helm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 51.3% vs Helm 45.9% (+7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lizotte 91.4%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 72.5%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 81.1%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 79.4%
79.4%
20.6%
Lizotte
Helm
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Lizotte
Helm
Last 5: Lizotte 5-0 Helm
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
1
0
Lizotte
Helm
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lizotte
4
0
Lizotte
Helm
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Helm
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (534)
46.7% (135)
+4.6%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (55)
40.8% (98)
+10.1%
On penalty kill, Lizotte has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Helm shoots left. Lizotte is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Lizotte shoots left. Helm is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (155).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Helm
Home
52.5% (326)
45.7% (105)
Away
50.5% (281)
43.0% (128)
By Period
Lizotte
Helm
P1
51.4%
42.1%
P2
56.3%
41.0%
P3
46.1%
50.6%
Final 5 min
49.2%
40.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.6%
Helm
34.0%▼
44.5%
44.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2022 | 1 | 05:27 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Apr 13, 2022 | 1 | 02:54 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 3 | 14:51 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 3 | 10:25 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 2 | 02:47 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |