Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Lizotte wins 46.4% vs right-shot opponents — Ryan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.8% vs Ryan 57.4% (-9.4%)
Offensive zone
Ryan 60.4%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 57.0%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 59.9%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Lizotte
Ryan
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (299)
61.4% (220)
-7.9%
Power Play
0.0% (4)
100.0% (1)
-100.0%
Penalty Kill
38.6% (44)
51.7% (29)
-13.1%
On power play, Ryan has a +100.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Lizotte is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (140).
Lizotte shoots left. Ryan is 61.3% vs left-shot opponents (194).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Ryan
Home
52.0% (198)
64.2% (137)
Away
49.7% (149)
55.8% (113)
By Period
Lizotte
Ryan
P1
50.0%
58.9%
P2
50.9%
62.8%
P3
52.2%
59.3%
Final 5 min
60.9%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
60.0%▲
55.0%
51.0%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
60.4%