Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Brassard on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Lizotte wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Brassard shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 51.0% vs Brassard 50.0% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lizotte 51.6%
Defensive zone
Brassard 52.9%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 51.7%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Lizotte
Brassard
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Lizotte
Brassard
Last 6: Lizotte 3-3 Brassard
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
1
2
Lizotte
Brassard
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lizotte
2
1
Lizotte
Brassard
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Brassard
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (707)
49.6% (230)
+2.9%
Power Play
46.2% (13)
53.8% (26)
-7.6%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (87)
50.0% (30)
-8.6%
On penalty kill, Brassard has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brassard shoots left. Lizotte is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (554).
Lizotte shoots left. Brassard is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (167).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Brassard
Home
51.4% (383)
51.7% (143)
Away
50.9% (424)
48.3% (143)
By Period
Lizotte
Brassard
P1
48.8%
46.4%
P2
51.0%
50.6%
P3
53.5%
53.9%
Final 5 min
48.3%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.2%
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2022 | 3 | 02:13 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 1 | 09:32 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 27, 2022 | 2 | 16:51 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 27, 2022 | 1 | 16:02 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 27, 2022 | 1 | 13:20 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 27, 2022 | 1 | 01:35 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |