Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Lizotte on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 51.3% vs Pilon 49.2% (+7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lizotte 68.8%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 73.8%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 69.5%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 70.1%
70.1%
29.9%
Lizotte
Pilon
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Lizotte
Pilon
Last 6: Lizotte 4-2 Pilon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pilon
0
1
Lizotte
Pilon
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
1
0
Lizotte
Pilon
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lizotte
3
1
Lizotte
Pilon
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Pilon
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (534)
44.4% (18)
+6.9%
On even strength, Lizotte has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pilon shoots right. Lizotte is 47.9% vs right-shot opponents (217).
Lizotte shoots left. Pilon is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (16).
By Period
Lizotte
Pilon
P1
51.4%
20.0%
P2
56.3%
62.5%
P3
46.1%
25.0%
Final 5 min
49.2%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.6%
Pilon
44.4%▬
44.4%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2021 | 2 | 14:55 | Offensive | Garrett Pilon |
| Nov 17, 2021 | 2 | 12:20 | Neutral | Garrett Pilon |
| Nov 17, 2021 | 2 | 08:07 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 17, 2021 | 2 | 07:52 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 17, 2021 | 1 | 12:47 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 17, 2021 | 1 | 07:48 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |