Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Lizotte on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Lizotte wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Miller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 51.0% vs Miller 54.5% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Miller 79.7%
Defensive zone
Miller 76.1%
Neutral zone
Miller 67.5%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 75.2%
24.8%
75.2%
Lizotte
Miller
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Lizotte
Miller
Last 7: Lizotte 5-2 Miller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
2
1
Lizotte
Miller
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
2
0
Lizotte
Miller
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lizotte
Miller
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Miller
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (707)
55.7% (589)
-3.2%
Power Play
46.2% (13)
60.9% (138)
-14.7%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (87)
47.2% (159)
-5.8%
On power play, Miller has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Miller shoots left. Lizotte is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (554).
Lizotte shoots left. Miller is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (582).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Miller
Home
51.4% (383)
56.1% (440)
Away
50.9% (424)
53.8% (446)
By Period
Lizotte
Miller
P1
48.8%
52.3%
P2
51.0%
54.7%
P3
53.5%
57.2%
Final 5 min
48.3%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.2%
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2023 | 3 | 18:21 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 3 | 13:35 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 3 | 09:52 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 1 | 11:27 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 3 | 18:57 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 3 | 17:28 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 2 | 16:18 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |