Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.7% vs Carter 53.2% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lizotte 62.4%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 77.5%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 73.9%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 74.6%
74.6%
25.4%
Lizotte
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
8
(9 meetings)
1
8
Lizotte
Carter
Last 9: Lizotte 1-8 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
1
Lizotte
Carter
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
5
Lizotte
Carter
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
1
2
Lizotte
Carter
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (3,005)
53.3% (8,728)
-1.6%
Power Play
49.4% (77)
57.3% (1,554)
-7.9%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (409)
46.3% (1,087)
-3.3%
On power play, Carter has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Lizotte is 50.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,159).
Lizotte shoots left. Carter is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,955).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Carter
Home
49.8% (1,780)
54.7% (5,752)
Away
51.6% (1,711)
51.6% (5,632)
By Period
Lizotte
Carter
P1
48.2%
53.6%
P2
52.8%
52.8%
P3
50.7%
53.1%
OT
66.7%
56.5%
Final 5 min
50.2%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
60.0%▲
55.0%
50.7%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2023 | 2 | 16:29 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 2 | 09:22 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 2 | 03:43 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 1 | 06:39 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 17:32 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 01:05 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 2 | 10:12 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 2 | 07:30 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Jan 30, 2022 | 2 | 04:13 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |