Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 51.3% vs Carter 56.4% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lizotte 65.4%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 58.7%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 60.3%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 58.7%
58.7%
41.3%
Lizotte
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Lizotte
Carter
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
1
Lizotte
Carter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (534)
57.9% (885)
-6.6%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
61.7% (133)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (55)
45.4% (119)
+5.5%
On even strength, Carter has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Lizotte is 47.9% vs right-shot opponents (217).
Lizotte shoots left. Carter is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (780).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Carter
Home
52.5% (326)
58.2% (543)
Away
50.5% (281)
55.9% (594)
By Period
Lizotte
Carter
P1
51.4%
57.5%
P2
56.3%
57.1%
P3
46.1%
55.8%
Final 5 min
49.2%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.6%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2022 | 2 | 04:13 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |