Blake Lizotte vs Jesperi Kotkaniemi
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.0% vs Kotkaniemi 48.6% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 84.4%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 79.6%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 51.0%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 59.6%
40.4%
59.6%
Lizotte
Kotkaniemi
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Lizotte
Kotkaniemi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
0
2
Lizotte
Kotkaniemi
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
0
1
Lizotte
Kotkaniemi
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lizotte
1
0
Lizotte
Kotkaniemi
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (342)
47.3% (207)
+5.6%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
100.0% (3)
-75.0%
Penalty Kill
43.1% (130)
33.3% (3)
+9.8%
On power play, Kotkaniemi has a +75.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Lizotte is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (285).
Lizotte shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (116).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Kotkaniemi
Home
44.2% (242)
46.5% (129)
Away
56.0% (234)
50.0% (84)
By Period
Lizotte
Kotkaniemi
P1
49.6%
51.3%
P2
46.9%
46.1%
P3
52.6%
45.9%
Final 5 min
48.0%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.0%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2025 | 1 | 19:24 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 1 | 17:12 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 1 | 13:45 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 1 | 01:30 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |