Blake Lizotte vs Jesperi Kotkaniemi
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 51.8% vs Kotkaniemi 48.7% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 89.8%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 70.0%
Neutral zone
Kotkaniemi 58.3%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 67.0%
33.0%
67.0%
Lizotte
Kotkaniemi
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Lizotte
Kotkaniemi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
0
2
Lizotte
Kotkaniemi
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
0
1
Lizotte
Kotkaniemi
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lizotte
1
0
Lizotte
Kotkaniemi
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (279)
47.7% (195)
+6.8%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (102)
33.3% (3)
+12.8%
On penalty kill, Lizotte has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Lizotte is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (244).
Lizotte shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (106).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Kotkaniemi
Home
45.1% (182)
46.8% (126)
Away
58.8% (199)
50.0% (74)
By Period
Lizotte
Kotkaniemi
P1
51.9%
50.0%
P2
50.0%
47.9%
P3
54.3%
45.6%
Final 5 min
47.4%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
60.0%▲
55.0%
52.2%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2025 | 1 | 19:24 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 1 | 17:12 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 1 | 13:45 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 1 | 01:30 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |