Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Lizotte wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Thornton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 51.3% vs Thornton 46.2% (+7.6%)
Offensive zone
Thornton 58.0%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 54.3%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 50.0%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Lizotte
Thornton
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (534)
43.5% (161)
+7.8%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
50.0% (14)
+11.1%
On power play, Lizotte has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Lizotte is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Lizotte shoots left. Thornton is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (108).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Thornton
Home
52.5% (326)
41.5% (106)
Away
50.5% (281)
47.8% (69)
By Period
Lizotte
Thornton
P1
51.4%
50.8%
P2
56.3%
41.0%
P3
46.1%
40.0%
Final 5 min
49.2%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.6%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
44.0%