Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.4% vs 49.5%). Look for Lizotte on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.4% vs Larsson 49.5% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Lizotte leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Lizotte 64.0%
Defensive zone
Larsson 57.9%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 54.8%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 58.3%
58.3%
41.7%
Lizotte
Larsson
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Lizotte
Larsson
Last 10: Lizotte 7-3 Larsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
5
1
Lizotte
Larsson
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
0
1
Lizotte
Larsson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larsson
2
3
Lizotte
Larsson
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Larsson
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (3,068)
50.5% (4,382)
+1.1%
Power Play
48.1% (81)
47.7% (153)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (437)
43.8% (714)
-1.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larsson shoots left. Lizotte is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,373).
Lizotte shoots left. Larsson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,402).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Larsson
Home
49.5% (1,840)
51.2% (2,493)
Away
51.4% (1,746)
48.0% (2,756)
By Period
Lizotte
Larsson
P1
48.0%
51.6%
P2
52.3%
49.7%
P3
50.5%
47.2%
OT
75.0%
52.3%
Final 5 min
50.2%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.4%
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2021 | 3 | 11:13 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 3 | 04:19 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 2 | 10:58 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 1 | 04:40 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Apr 7, 2021 | 3 | 13:55 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Apr 7, 2021 | 1 | 01:41 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 2 | 11:48 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 2 | 03:46 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 1 | 17:07 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 1 | 17:30 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 1 | 12:04 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 1 | 02:38 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |