Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Rooney on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.4% vs Rooney 46.4% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rooney 60.6%
Defensive zone
Rooney 64.4%
Neutral zone
Rooney 61.6%
Result
Kevin Rooney favored at 62.9%
37.1%
62.9%
Lizotte
Rooney
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Lizotte
Rooney
Last 9: Lizotte 3-6 Rooney
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lizotte
Rooney
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rooney
2
3
Lizotte
Rooney
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rooney
0
2
Lizotte
Rooney
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Rooney
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (3,068)
46.7% (2,042)
+4.9%
Power Play
48.1% (81)
41.7% (48)
+6.4%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (437)
43.4% (267)
-1.1%
On power play, Lizotte has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rooney shoots left. Lizotte is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,373).
Lizotte shoots left. Rooney is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,570).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Rooney
Home
49.5% (1,840)
47.4% (1,227)
Away
51.4% (1,746)
44.9% (1,130)
By Period
Lizotte
Rooney
P1
48.0%
48.1%
P2
52.3%
47.1%
P3
50.5%
43.6%
OT
75.0%
12.5%
Final 5 min
50.2%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.4%
Rooney
40.0%▼
47.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2024 | 1 | 02:05 | Defensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 1 | 02:00 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 06:38 | Offensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 3 | 17:47 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 2 | 12:28 | Neutral | Kevin Rooney |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 1 | 05:32 | Defensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 1 | 05:17 | Defensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Jan 10, 2022 | 2 | 09:06 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Jan 10, 2022 | 2 | 00:55 | Neutral | Kevin Rooney |