Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.4% vs 50.3%). Look for Lizotte on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.4% vs Turris 50.3% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Turris 78.2%
Defensive zone
Turris 50.1%
Neutral zone
Turris 62.1%
Result
Kyle Turris favored at 67.5%
32.5%
67.5%
Lizotte
Turris
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Lizotte
Turris
Last 6: Lizotte 5-1 Turris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
2
0
Lizotte
Turris
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lizotte
3
1
Lizotte
Turris
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Turris
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (3,068)
50.2% (7,653)
+1.4%
Power Play
48.1% (81)
52.4% (1,312)
-4.3%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (437)
48.6% (580)
-6.3%
On penalty kill, Turris has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Turris shoots right. Lizotte is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,213).
Lizotte shoots left. Turris is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (6,446).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Turris
Home
49.5% (1,840)
53.5% (4,794)
Away
51.4% (1,746)
47.1% (4,756)
By Period
Lizotte
Turris
P1
48.0%
51.5%
P2
52.3%
50.8%
P3
50.5%
48.4%
OT
75.0%
56.0%
Final 5 min
50.2%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.4%
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2020 | 3 | 14:48 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 3 | 09:50 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 2 | 16:26 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 2 | 09:14 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 2 | 02:44 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 1 | 10:21 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |