Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.7% vs 50.3%). Look for Lizotte on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.7% vs Turris 50.3% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Turris 68.3%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 69.6%
Neutral zone
Turris 53.1%
Result
Kyle Turris favored at 58.2%
41.8%
58.2%
Lizotte
Turris
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Lizotte
Turris
Last 6: Lizotte 5-1 Turris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
2
0
Lizotte
Turris
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lizotte
3
1
Lizotte
Turris
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Turris
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (3,005)
50.2% (7,653)
+1.5%
Power Play
49.4% (77)
52.4% (1,312)
-3.0%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (409)
48.6% (580)
-5.6%
On penalty kill, Turris has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Turris shoots right. Lizotte is 50.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,159).
Lizotte shoots left. Turris is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (6,446).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Turris
Home
49.8% (1,780)
53.5% (4,794)
Away
51.6% (1,711)
47.1% (4,756)
By Period
Lizotte
Turris
P1
48.2%
51.5%
P2
52.8%
50.8%
P3
50.7%
48.4%
OT
66.7%
56.0%
Final 5 min
50.2%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
60.0%▲
55.0%
50.7%
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2020 | 3 | 14:48 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 3 | 09:50 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 2 | 16:26 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 2 | 09:14 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 2 | 02:44 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 1 | 10:21 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |