Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Lizotte on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Lizotte wins 56.6% vs right-shot opponents — Turris shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.1% vs Turris 47.9% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Turris 51.6%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 65.3%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 51.8%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Lizotte
Turris
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Lizotte
Turris
Last 6: Lizotte 5-1 Turris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
2
0
Lizotte
Turris
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lizotte
3
1
Lizotte
Turris
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Turris
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (549)
48.8% (449)
+1.5%
Power Play
60.9% (23)
41.2% (51)
+19.7%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (50)
33.3% (18)
+10.7%
On power play, Lizotte has a +19.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Turris shoots right. Lizotte is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (196).
Lizotte shoots left. Turris is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (372).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Turris
Home
48.5% (336)
51.2% (252)
Away
52.1% (286)
44.0% (266)
By Period
Lizotte
Turris
P1
48.2%
47.5%
P2
54.1%
43.3%
P3
47.1%
50.6%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
49.4%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.2%
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2020 | 3 | 14:48 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 3 | 09:50 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 2 | 16:26 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 2 | 09:14 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 2 | 02:44 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 1 | 10:21 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |