Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 51.8% vs Kadri 49.5% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 86.0%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 81.1%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 50.3%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 60.1%
39.9%
60.1%
Lizotte
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Lizotte
Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
0
2
Lizotte
Kadri
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
1
0
Lizotte
Kadri
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lizotte
1
0
Lizotte
Kadri
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (279)
49.4% (688)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (102)
38.5% (13)
+7.6%
On penalty kill, Lizotte has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Lizotte is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (244).
Lizotte shoots left. Kadri is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (483).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Kadri
Home
45.1% (182)
49.1% (407)
Away
58.8% (199)
49.9% (361)
By Period
Lizotte
Kadri
P1
51.9%
56.4%
P2
50.0%
51.7%
P3
54.3%
41.4%
OT
100.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
47.4%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
60.0%▲
55.0%
52.2%
Kadri
48.0%▼
49.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 18:06 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 13:22 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 1 | 16:21 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 1 | 08:33 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |