Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on offensive-zone draws (77% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.4% vs Kadri 48.7% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Kadri leads 26-21 in 47 meetings
Offensive zone
Kadri 73.1%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 63.3%
Neutral zone
Kadri 51.6%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
Lizotte
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
21
-
26
(47 meetings)
21
26
Lizotte
Kadri
Last 10: Lizotte 4-6 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
3
10
Lizotte
Kadri
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
9
8
Lizotte
Kadri
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lizotte
9
8
Lizotte
Kadri
17 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (3,068)
48.2% (12,510)
+3.4%
Power Play
48.1% (81)
53.0% (1,892)
-4.9%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (437)
41.0% (293)
+1.3%
On power play, Kadri has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Lizotte is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,373).
Lizotte shoots left. Kadri is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (9,379).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Kadri
Home
49.5% (1,840)
49.1% (7,467)
Away
51.4% (1,746)
48.1% (7,231)
By Period
Lizotte
Kadri
P1
48.0%
49.2%
P2
52.3%
48.8%
P3
50.5%
48.0%
OT
75.0%
49.0%
Final 5 min
50.2%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.4%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 18:06 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 13:22 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 1 | 16:21 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 1 | 08:33 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 3 | 12:49 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 02:40 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 3 | 05:58 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 3 | 05:38 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 2 | 15:34 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 1 | 01:26 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 05:20 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 1 | 11:58 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 1 | 05:15 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 05:34 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 1 | 15:20 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 3 | 08:16 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 2 | 17:39 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 2 | 01:36 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 1 | 01:54 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 20, 2023 | 2 | 13:14 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |