Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.4% vs 50.0%). Look for Bonino on defensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.4% vs Bonino 50.0% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Bonino leads 19-10 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
Bonino 50.3%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 50.2%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 51.6%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Lizotte
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
19
(29 meetings)
10
19
Lizotte
Bonino
Last 10: Lizotte 3-7 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
5
3
Lizotte
Bonino
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
8
Lizotte
Bonino
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
4
8
Lizotte
Bonino
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (3,068)
50.6% (8,315)
+1.0%
Power Play
48.1% (81)
54.1% (972)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (437)
44.6% (1,693)
-2.3%
On power play, Bonino has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Lizotte is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,373).
Lizotte shoots left. Bonino is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (6,917).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Bonino
Home
49.5% (1,840)
51.2% (5,507)
Away
51.4% (1,746)
48.8% (5,480)
By Period
Lizotte
Bonino
P1
48.0%
50.6%
P2
52.3%
48.5%
P3
50.5%
51.1%
OT
75.0%
45.7%
Final 5 min
50.2%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.4%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2023 | 1 | 09:52 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 3 | 15:39 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 3 | 07:21 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 3 | 04:41 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 2 | 17:15 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 2 | 05:50 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 2 | 18:58 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 2 | 15:09 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 2 | 07:13 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 1 | 11:41 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 1 | 09:19 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 3 | 08:01 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 1 | 09:38 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 1 | 04:25 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 2 | 19:32 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 1 | 03:02 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 2 | 05:34 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 3 | 02:04 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |