Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Lizotte wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 51.0% vs Bonino 48.5% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lizotte 55.1%
Defensive zone
Bonino 63.7%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 53.3%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Lizotte
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Lizotte
Bonino
Last 5: Lizotte 2-3 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
2
0
Lizotte
Bonino
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
2
Lizotte
Bonino
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
1
Lizotte
Bonino
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (707)
48.1% (324)
+4.4%
Power Play
46.2% (13)
57.9% (38)
-11.7%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (87)
44.3% (88)
-2.9%
On power play, Bonino has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Lizotte is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (554).
Lizotte shoots left. Bonino is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (272).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Bonino
Home
51.4% (383)
52.0% (244)
Away
50.9% (424)
43.7% (206)
By Period
Lizotte
Bonino
P1
48.8%
48.0%
P2
51.0%
42.9%
P3
53.5%
53.9%
Final 5 min
48.3%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.2%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2022 | 3 | 15:39 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 3 | 07:21 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 3 | 04:41 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 2 | 17:15 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 2 | 05:50 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |